2004 United States presidential election in Oregon

Election in Oregon

The 2004 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Oregon was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 4.16 point margin of victory. Prior to the election, news organizations considered the state a tossup or leaning Kerry. A moderate amount of campaigning took place here, as Kerry won every poll after October 14, each with between 47% and 53% of the vote. Despite the state having been very competitive and being barely won by Al Gore four years earlier, Oregon is a consistent blue state that no Republican has won in a presidential election since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Kerry won this state with a modest margin, indicating Oregon's Democratic trend. This is the most recent presidential election in which Oregon was considered a swing state. As of the [[2020 United States presidential election in Oregon, this is the last election in which Clackamas County voted for a Republican presidential candidate as well as the final time the state's margin would be in the single digits, and the last time a Republican received more than 45% of the state's vote. This election marked the only time in history that a Republican has been elected twice as president without ever carrying Oregon.

There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day. +SourceRankingD. C. Political Report Associated Press CNN Cook Political Report Newsweek New York TimesRasmussen ReportsResearch 2000Washington PostWashington TimesZogby InternationalWashington Dispatch

Kerry won most pre election polling. The final 3 poll average had Kerry leading 50% to 45% for Bush.

Bush raised $1,497,451. Kerry raised $1,937,916.

In the week of September 28, both tickets combined spent an estimated $546,000 on advertising. However, both tickets spent less and less money each week. Bush visited here 2 times. Kerry visited here 3 times. Both tickets visited the western part of the state.

After the 2000 election, which saw a particularly close race, Oregon was largely considered a potential Republican target. However, Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won 51% of Oregon's vote, narrowly defeating Republican incumbent George W. Bush. The rural and highly conservative eastern interior and Southern Oregon favored Bush, but Kerry's strong support in the more urban Willamette Valley allowed him to win the state. About 68% of the voting age population came out to vote.

2004 United States presidential election in OregonPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Democratic John Kerry 943,163 51.35% 7 Republican George W. Bush 866,831 47.19% 0 Write Ins 8,956 0.49% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 7,260 0.40% 0Pacific Green David Cobb 5,315 0.29% 0Constitution Michael Peroutka 5,257 0.29% 0 Totals 1,836,782 100.00% 7 Voter turnout (Voting age population) 67.8%

County John KerryDemocratic George W. BushRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # %Baker 2,616 28.96% 6,253 69.22% 165 1.83% 3,637 40.26% 9,034Benton 26,515 57.98% 18,460 40.36% 760 1.67% 8,055 17.62% 45,735Clackamas 95,129 48.78% 97,691 50.10% 2,180 1.12% 2,562 1.32% 195,000Clatsop 10,461 54.18% 8,503 44.04% 345 1.79% 1,958 10.14% 19,309Columbia 12,563 50.42% 11,868 47.63% 486 1.95% 695 2.79% 24,917Coos 14,393 43.14% 18,291 54.83% 678 2.03% 3,898 11.69% 33,362Crook 3,024 30.09% 6,830 67.95% 197 1.96% 3,806 37.86% 10,051Curry 5,220 40.78% 7,332 57.29% 247 1.93% 2,112 16.51% 12,799Deschutes 31,179 42.11% 41,757 56.39% 1,112 1.50% 10,578 14.28% 74,048Douglas 18,089 32.90% 35,956 65.39% 939 1.71% 17,867 32.49% 54,984Gilliam 370 32.51% 755 66.34% 13 1.14% 385 33.83% 1,138Grant 780 19.21% 3,204 78.90% 77 1.90% 2,424 59.69% 4,061Harney 839 22.66% 2,815 76.04% 48 1.30% 1,976 53.38% 3,702Hood River 5,587 56.67% 4,124 41.83% 148 1.50% 1,463 14.84% 9,859Jackson 44,366 43.42% 56,519 55.31% 1,304 1.28% 12,153 11.89% 102,189Jefferson 3,243 39.96% 4,762 58.68% 110 1.36% 1,519 18.72% 8,115Josephine 15,214 35.99% 26,241 62.07% 820 1.94% 11,027 26.08% 42,275Klamath 8,264 26.22% 22,733 72.13% 518 1.64% 14,469 45.91% 31,515Lake 802 20.54% 3,039 77.82% 64 1.64% 2,237 57.28% 3,905Lane 107,769 57.98% 75,007 40.35% 3,096 1.67% 32,762 17.63% 185,872Lincoln 13,753 56.54% 10,160 41.77% 412 1.69% 3,593 14.77% 24,325Linn 19,940 38.32% 31,260 60.07% 841 1.62% 11,320 21.75% 52,041Malheur 2,577 23.76% 8,123 74.89% 146 1.35% 5,546 51.13% 10,846Marion 57,671 44.49% 69,900 53.93% 2,048 1.58% 12,229 9.44% 129,619Morrow 1,361 32.80% 2,732 65.85% 56 1.35% 1,371 33.05% 4,149Multnomah 259,585 71.57% 98,439 27.14% 4,670 1.29% 161,146 44.43% 362,694Polk 15,484 43.63% 19,508 54.97% 497 1.40% 4,024 11.34% 35,489Sherman 390 35.33% 694 62.86% 20 1.81% 304 27.53% 1,104Tillamook 6,750 48.38% 7,003 50.20% 198 1.42% 253 1.82% 13,951Umatilla 8,884 33.75% 17,068 64.84% 370 1.41% 8,184 31.09% 26,322Union 4,428 32.75% 8,879 65.68% 212 1.57% 4,451 32.93% 13,519Wallowa 1,269 28.07% 3,132 69.28% 120 2.65% 1,863 41.21% 4,521Wasco 5,691 47.42% 6,119 50.98% 192 1.60% 428 3.56% 12,002Washington 121,140 52.37% 107,223 46.36% 2,945 1.27% 13,917 6.01% 231,308Wheeler 245 27.84% 612 69.55% 23 2.61% 367 41.71% 880Yamhill 17,572 41.70% 23,839 56.57% 731 1.73% 6,267 14.87% 42,142Totals943,16351.35%866,83147.19%26,7881.46%76,3324.16%1,836,782