Кіріспе

Қоғамдық пікір сауалнамалары

2008 жылғы АҚШ президенттік сайлауына қатысты жүргізілген ғылыми, жалпыұлттық қоғамдық пікір сауалнамалары:

Төрт жақты бәсеке

Саяхат көзіДата Барак Обама (D)Джон Маккейн (R)Боб Барр (L)Ральф Надер (I)Үлгі көлеміҚателік шегіTarrance Group2008 жылғы 2-3 қараша50.2%48.3%0.9%0.6%800 LV±3.5%Lake Research Partners2008 жылғы 2-3 қараша51.5%46.5%1%1%800 LV±3.5%Harris Interactive2008 жылғы 30 қазан – 3 қараша52%44%1%1%3,946 LVХабарланбадыDemocracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)2008 жылғы 30 қазан – 2 қараша51%44%2%1%1,000 LVХабарланбадыMcClatchy/Ipsos2008 жылғы 23-27 қазан48%42%1%1%831 LV±3.4%Harris Interactive2008 жылғы 20-27 қазан50%44%1%2%1,590 LVХабарланбадыAssociated Press/Yahoo News/Knowledge Networks2008 жылғы 17-27 қазан51%43%1%2%ХабарланбадыХабарланбадыPew Research Center2008 жылғы 23-26 қазан53%38%0%2%1,198 LV±3.5%Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)2008 жылғы 21-23 қазан52%43%1%2%1,000 LVХабарланбадыGeorge Washington University/Tarrance Group/Lake Research Partners (Күнделікті бақылау)2008 жылғы 16, 19-22 қазан48%45%1%2%1,000 LV±3.5%Harris Interactive2008 жылғы 16-20 қазан50%44%1%1%1,390 LVХабарланбадыAssociated Press/GfK Group/Roper2008 жылғы 16-20 қазан44%43%1%1%800 LV±3.5%McClatchy/Ipsos2008 жылғы 16-20 қазан50%42%0%1%773 LV±3.5%Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)2008 жылғы 15-19 қазан49%44%2%3%1,000 LVХабарланбадыMcClatchy/Ipsos2008 жылғы 9-13 қазан48%39%1%2%1,036 RV±3.0%Associated Press/Yahoo News/Knowledge Networks2008 жылғы 3-13 қазан49%44%1%1%1,528 LV±2.5%George Washington University/Tarrance Group/Lake Research Partners (Күнделікті бақылау)2008 жылғы 6-9 қазан51%41%1%2%800 LV±3.5%McClatchy/Ipsos2008 жылғы 2-6 қазан47%40%1%3%858 RV±3.3%George Washington University/Tarrance Group/Lake Research Partners (Күнделікті бақылау)2008 жылғы 2-5 қазан48%44%1%2%800 LV±3.5%Associated Press/GfK Group/Roper2008 жылғы 27-30 қыркүйек48%41%1%2%808 LV±3.4%McClatchy/Ipsos2008 жылғы 26-29 қыркүйек46%42%1%2%1,007 RV±3.1%George Washington University/Tarrance Group/Lake Research Partners2008 жылғы 21-25 қыркүйек45%47%1%2%1,000 LV±3.1%Harris Interactive2008 жылғы 15-22 қыркүйек47%46%1%2%1,590 LVХабарланбадыMcClatchy/Ipsos2008 жылғы 11-15 қыркүйек45%45%1%2%1,046 RV±3%Associated Press/Yahoo News/Knowledge Networks2008 жылғы 5-15 қыркүйек42%44%1%2%1,546 RV±2.5%Reuters/Zogby International2008 жылғы 11-13 қыркүйек45%45%1 2%1 2%1,008 LV±3.1%George Washington University/Tarrance Group/Lake Research Partners2008 жылғы 7-11 қыркүйек44%48%1%1%1,000 LV±3.1%Associated Press/GfK Group/Roper2008 жылғы 5-10 қыркүйек44%48%1%1%812 LV±3.4%Associated Press/Yahoo News/Stanford University/Knowledge Networks2008 жылғы 27 тамыз – 5 қыркүйек43%39%1%2%1,728 RV±2.4%Zogby Interactive2008 жылғы 29-30 тамыз44%43%5%2%2,020 LV±2.2%Reuters/Zogby International2008 жылғы 14-16 тамыз39%44%3%2%1,089 LV±3.0%Zogby Interactive2008 жылғы 12-14 тамыз43%40%6%2%3,339 LV±1.7%Associated Press/Ipsos2008 жылғы 31 шілде – 4 тамыз47%41%2%3%833 RV±3.4%Associated TV/Zogby International2008 жылғы 31 шілде – 1 тамыз41%42%2%2%1,011 LV±3.1%Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corporation2008 жылғы 22-23 шілде40%37%0%2%900 RV±3%ABC News/Washington Post2008 жылғы 10-13 шілде49%39%2%5%ХабарланбадыХабарланбадыReuters/Zogby International2008 жылғы 9-13 шілде46%36%3%3%1,039 LV±3,1%Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg2008 жылғы 19-23 маусым48%33%Боб Барр4%Ральф Надер3%1,115 RV±3%Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corporation2008 жылғы 17-18 маусым42%39%2%4%900 RV±3%ABC News/Washington Post2008 жылғы 12-15 маусым49%39%2%5%ХабарланбадыХабарланбадыCNN/Opinion Research Corporation2008 жылғы 4-5 маусым47%43%2%6%921 RV±3%

Бес жақты байқау

Сауалнама көзі Күні Барак Обама (D) Джон Маккейн (R) Боб Барр (L) Синтия МакКинни (G) Ральф Надер (I) Үлгі мөлшері Қате шегіCNN/Opinion Research Corporation 30 қазан – 1 қараша, 200851%43%1%1%2%714 LV±3.5%Zogby Interactive 26–27 қыркүйек, 200846.4%43.4%3.7%0.6%1.0%2,102 LV±2.2%CNN/Opinion Research Corporation 19–21 қыркүйек, 200848%45%1%1%4%909 RV±3%Zogby Interactive 23–24 тамыз, 200845%43%4%1%1%2,248 LV±2.1%

Демократиялық және Республикалық партиялар

Poll SourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Sample sizeMargin of errorThe Economist/Polimetrix/YouGovFebruary 25–26, 2008Hillary Clinton44%Mike Huckabee45%994 A±4%Hillary Clinton40%John McCain46%991 ABarack Obama47%Mike Huckabee41%988 ABarack Obama43%John McCain44%993 AThe Economist/Polimetrix/YouGovFebruary 19–20, 2008Hillary Clinton46%Mike Huckabee40%999 A±4%Hillary Clinton43%John McCain44%996 ABarack Obama49%Mike Huckabee45%997 ABarack Obama45%John McCain41%1,000 AThe Economist/Polimetrix/YouGovFebruary 10–11, 2008Hillary Clinton48%Mike Huckabee41%999 A±4%Hillary Clinton43%John McCain44%998 ABarack Obama51%Mike Huckabee37%998 ABarack Obama49%John McCain39%996 AZogby InternationalFebruary 8−11, 2008Hillary Clinton37%John McCain42%7,468 LV±1.2%Barack Obama47%John McCain36%Hillary Clinton40%Mike Huckabee37%Barack Obama49%Mike Huckabee34%The Economist/Polimetrix/YouGovFebruary 4–5, 2008Hillary Clinton51%Mitt Romney36%998 A±4%Hillary Clinton46%John McCain39%994 ABarack Obama49%Mitt Romney35%997 ABarack Obama44%John McCain38%993 ACNN/Opinion Research CorporationFebruary 1−3, 2008Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney36%974 RV±3%Hillary Clinton56%Mitt Romney41%Barack Obama52%John McCain44%Hillary Clinton50%John McCain47%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research (Daily Tracking)January 31 − February 3, 2008Hillary Clinton39%John McCain47%1,600 LV±3%Hillary Clinton50%Mitt Romney37%Barack Obama44%John McCain44%Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney41%Cook Political Report/RT Strategies January 31 – February 2, 2008Hillary Clinton41%John McCain45%855 RV±3.4%Hillary Clinton48%Mitt Romney42%Barack Obama45%John McCain43%Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%ABC News/Washington PostJanuary 30 – February 1, 2008Hillary Clinton45%John McCain50%Not reportedNot reportedHillary Clinton51%Mitt Romney43%Barack Obama47%John McCain48%Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney36%Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corporation January 30–31, 2008Hillary Clinton44%John McCain45%900 RV±3%Hillary Clinton50%Mitt Romney36%Barack Obama44%John McCain43%Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney33%Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)January 29–31, 2008Hillary Clinton46%John McCain48%500 LVNot reportedBarack Obama47%John McCain48%NPR/Public Opinion Research/Greenberg Quinlan RosnerJanuary 29–31, 2008Hillary Clinton45%John McCain48%1,000 LV±3%Hillary Clinton49%Mitt Romney44%Barack Obama47%John McCain48%Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney41%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJanuary 25–27, 2008Hillary Clinton40%John McCain48%1,200 LV±3%Barack Obama41%John McCain47%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJanuary 21–22, 2008Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney38%800 LV±4%Hillary Clinton47%Mitt Romney42%NBC News/Wall Street JournalJanuary 20–22, 2008Barack Obama41%John McCain43%Not reportedNot reportedBarack Obama48%Mitt Romney35%Barack Obama54%Rudy Giuliani34%Barack Obama55%Mike Huckabee33%Hillary Clinton43%John McCain47%Hillary Clinton50%Mike Huckabee41%Hillary Clinton52%Rudy Giuliani37%Hillary Clinton52%Mitt Romney36%Los Angeles Times/BloombergJanuary 18–22, 2008Barack Obama47%Mike Huckabee37%643 RV±4%Barack Obama41%John McCain42%Barack Obama49%Rudy Giuliani32%Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney35%Hillary Clinton51%Mike Huckabee38%669 RVHillary Clinton53%Rudy Giuliani37%Hillary Clinton46%John McCain42%Hillary Clinton50%Mitt Romney39%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJanuary 18–20, 2008Barack Obama51%Mike Huckabee35%800 LV±3.5%Hillary Clinton48%Mike Huckabee40%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJanuary 16–17, 2008Barack Obama46%John McCain41%800 LV±4.5%Hillary Clinton47%John McCain45%USA Today/GallupJanuary 10–13, 2008Barack Obama53%Mike Huckabee43%1,598 LV±3%Barack Obama45%John McCain50%Hillary Clinton47%John McCain50%Hillary Clinton51%Mike Huckabee45%Diageo/The Hotline/Financial DynamicsJanuary 10–12, 2008Barack Obama41%John McCain39%803 RV±3.5%Hillary Clinton43%John McCain47%Barack Obama53%Mike Huckabee30%Hillary Clinton48%Mike Huckabee39%Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney26%Hillary Clinton49%Mitt Romney37%Barack Obama54%Rudy Giuliani33%Hillary Clinton50%Rudy Giuliani40%John Edwards48%Rudy Giuliani31%John Edwards39%John McCain47%John Edwards47%Mike Huckabee31%John Edwards48%Mitt Romney33%Reuters/Zogby InternationalJanuary 10–11, 2008Hillary Clinton47%Mitt Romney37%1,006 LV±3.1%Hillary Clinton47%Mike Huckabee38%Hillary Clinton46%Rudy Giuliani35%Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney34%Barack Obama51%Mike Huckabee36%Barack Obama51%Rudy Giuliani34%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJanuary 9–10, 2008Hillary Clinton38%John McCain49%800 LV±4.5%Hillary Clinton42%Mike Huckabee45%CNN/Opinion Research CorporationJanuary 9–10, 2008Hillary Clinton50%John McCain48%840 RV±3.5%Hillary Clinton55%Rudy Giuliani42%Hillary Clinton56%Mike Huckabee42%Hillary Clinton58%Mitt Romney40%Barack Obama49%John McCain48%Barack Obama56%Rudy Giuliani40%Barack Obama58%Mike Huckabee39%Barack Obama59%Mitt Romney37%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJan 7−8, 2008Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney40%800 LV±3.5%Barack Obama48%Rudy Giuliani38%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJan 4–6, 2008Barack Obama43%John McCain46%800 LV±4.5%Barack Obama45%Mike Huckabee43%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJan 2–3, 2008Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney39%800 LV±3.5%Barack Obama47%Rudy Giuliani37%Fox News/Opinion Dynamics CorporationDec 18–19, 2007Barack Obama40%John McCain44%900 RV±3%Barack Obama44%Mike Huckabee35%Hillary Clinton42%John McCain47%Hillary Clinton47%Mike Huckabee38%ABC News/FacebookDec 16–19, 2007Hillary Clinton45%Rudy Giuliani47%1,142 A±3%Hillary Clinton50%Mike Huckabee42%Barack Obama48%Rudy Giuliani41%Barack Obama52%Mike Huckabee35%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchDec 17–18, 2007Hillary Clinton44%Rudy Giuliani45%800 LV±4.5%Hillary Clinton43%Mitt Romney44%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchNot reported (Dec 15 16? )Barack Obama43%John McCain45%Not reportedNot reportedBarack Obama47%Fred Thompson40%NBC News/Wall Street JournalDec 14–17, 2007Barack Obama49%Rudy Giuliani40%Not reportedNot reportedHillary Clinton46%Mike Huckabee44%Barack Obama48%Mike Huckabee36%Hillary Clinton46%Rudy Giuliani43%1,005 A±3.1%Hillary Clinton48%Mitt Romney41%USA Today/GallupDec 14–16, 2007Barack Obama51%Rudy Giuliani45%906 RV±4%Barack Obama53%Mike Huckabee42%Barack Obama57%Mitt Romney39%Hillary Clinton49%Rudy Giuliani48%Hillary Clinton52%Mitt Romney46%Hillary Clinton53%Mike Huckabee44%Zogby InternationalDec 12–14, 2007Barack Obama53%Mitt Romney35%1,000 LV±3.2%Barack Obama47%Mike Huckabee42%Barack Obama48%Rudy Giuliani39%Barack Obama47%John McCain43%Barack Obama52%Fred Thompson36%Hillary Clinton46%Mitt Romney44%Hillary Clinton43%Mike Huckabee48%Hillary Clinton42%Rudy Giuliani46%Hillary Clinton42%John McCain49%Hillary Clinton48%Fred Thompson42%John Edwards50%Mitt Romney38%John Edwards47%Mike Huckabee41%John Edwards44%Rudy Giuliani45%John Edwards42%John McCain46%John Edwards51%Fred Thomson35%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchDec 12–13, 2007John Edwards46%John McCain39%800 LV±3.5%John Edwards49%Mike Huckabee37%George Washington University/Tarrance Group/Lake Research GroupDec 9–12, 2007Hillary Clinton50%Rudy Giuliani44%1,000 LV±3.1%Hillary Clinton50%Mitt Romney44%Barack Obama46%Rudy Giuliani43%Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney42%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchDec 10–11, 2007Barack Obama43%Rudy Giuliani43%800 LV±3.5%Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney41%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchDec 7–9, 2007Barack Obama50%Ron Paul31%1,200 LV±3%Hillary Clinton49%Ron Paul37%CNN/Opinion Research CorporationDec 6–9, 2007John Edwards52%John McCain44%912 RV±3%John Edwards53%Rudy Giuliani44%John Edwards59%Mitt Romney37%John Edwards60%Mike Huckabee35%Barack Obama48%John McCain48%Barack Obama52%Rudy Giualiani45%Barack Obama54%Mitt Romney41%Barack Obama55%Mike Huckabee40%Hillary Clinton48%John McCain50%Hillary Clinton51%Rudy Giuliani45%Hillary Clinton54%Mike Huckabee44%Hillary Clinton54%Mitt Romney43%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinio...