Национальное Единство Надежды: История и Эволюция Гватемальской Партии

The National Unity of Hope (lang es, UNE) is a populist political party in Guatemala. It was founded in 2002 and defined itself as a social democratic and social Christian party, but since transformed and is now described as a right wing party. It is the largest political party in Guatemala by the number of members.

At the time of its founding in 2002, it defined itself as a social democratic and social Christian party, but has gradually shifted to the right wing. It opposes lifting abortion and same sex marriage bans in the country. However, it supports social programs aimed at uplifting the "forgotten" poor of the country.

At the legislative elections held on November 9, 2003, the party won 17.9% of the popular vote and 32 out of 158 seats in Congress. Its presidential candidate Álvaro Colom won 26.4% in the presidential elections on the same day and was defeated in the second round, when he received 45.9%.

For the 2007 elections, the party again chose Colom as its presidential candidate. He came in first place with 28% of the vote;
in the Legislative Election, the party won 22.8% of the vote and 48 seats in Congress, more than any other party. On November 4, 2007, in the second round of the election, Colom was elected President of Guatemala. It would mark the first time since 1954 that Guatemala had a left wing government.

In the 2011 elections, the Constitutional Court ruled out the candidacy of Colom's ex wife, Sandra Torres, thus making it the first time in the history of the elections that an official ruling party did not present presidential and vice presidential candidacies.

In the 2015 elections held on September 6, 2015, the National Unity of Hope won 19.76% of the vote in the first round and 27 seats in Congress. In the second round (run off) Presidential candidate Sandra Torres placed second in the presidential race with 32.56% of the vote, eventually losing in the October 25 run off to Jimmy Morales of the National Convergence Front (FCN/Nation).

In the 2019 elections held on June 16, 2019, the party again chose Sandra Torres as its presidential candidate. She came in first place in the first round with 25.54% of the vote but lost the second round on August 11, 2019 with 42.05% of the vote to Alejandro Giammattei of the Vamos party; in the Legislative Election, the UNE party won 54 seats in Congress, more than any other party.

The National Unity of Hope had an internal division between deputies opponents and supporters of Sandra Torres in 2020, caused by Torres's accusations of corruption and poor electoral results in 2019, as well as her support for the government of Alejandro Giammattei. A faction opposing Torres removed her as leader and expelled her from the party in 2021. However, the Supreme Electoral Tribunal ruled in favor of Torres and allowed her to continue as party leader. A few days after the decision of the electoral court, the opposition group to Sandra Torres announced its resignation from the National Unity of Hope, to found the "Parliamentary Opposition Group", in reference to its parliamentary opposition to the Giammattei government. The Parliamentary Opposition Group approached the Will, Opportunity and Solidarity political party. After Torres' new electoral defeat, the National Unity of Hope suffered another split in early 2024, when a group of more than 20 members of Congress led by Adim Maldonado (who was Torres's right hand man in the 2023 campaign) and José Inés Castillo agreed to join a legislative agreement with the government of Bernardo Arévalo. Torres tried to expel Maldonado and Castillo but the decision was annulled by the new legislative majority and she lose control of the legislative bench.

ElectionCandidates First roundSecond round Status President Vice President Votes % Votes % 2003Álvaro Colom Fernando Andrade 707,578 26.36 1,046,868 45.87Lost 2007 Rafael Espada 926,236 28.25 1,449,533 52.81Won 2011Sandra Torres Roberto Díaz DuránDisqualified 2015 Mario Leal 948,809 19.76 1,328,342 32.56Lost 2019 Carlos Raúl Morales 1,112,939 25.42 1,384,044 42.05Lost 2023 Romeo Guerra 881,592 20.98 1,567,664 39.09Lost

Election Votes % Seats +/– Status 2003 457,308 17.92 New 2007 720,285 22.84 20 2011 985,610 22.47 4 2015 676,080 14.83 16 2019 717,204 17.81 22 2023 538,010 12.90 26